Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000736 0.000842 0.000954 0.001081 0.001221 0.001370 0.001541
2025-01-05 0.000569 0.000715 0.000881 0.001082 0.001317 0.001581 0.001900
2025-01-12 0.000472 0.000633 0.000826 0.001069 0.001365 0.001710 0.002139
2025-01-19 0.000395 0.000564 0.000774 0.001049 0.001396 0.001812 0.002345
2025-01-26 0.000354 0.000532 0.000761 0.001072 0.001475 0.001970 0.002617
2025-02-02 0.000318 0.000502 0.000748 0.001091 0.001545 0.002116 0.002876
2025-02-09 0.000276 0.000459 0.000711 0.001073 0.001565 0.002196 0.003051
2025-02-16 0.000239 0.000418 0.000673 0.001050 0.001575 0.002261 0.003207
2025-02-23 0.000218 0.000398 0.000663 0.001063 0.001631 0.002386 0.003442
2025-03-02 0.000198 0.000377 0.000650 0.001070 0.001679 0.002501 0.003664
2025-03-09 0.000171 0.000343 0.000612 0.001040 0.001671 0.002538 0.003783
2025-03-16 0.000148 0.000311 0.000577 0.001009 0.001660 0.002569 0.003893
2025-03-23 0.000132 0.000293 0.000560 0.001006 0.001690 0.002660 0.004087
2025-03-30 0.000119 0.000276 0.000546 0.001005 0.001723 0.002754 0.004290
2025-04-06 0.000105 0.000257 0.000526 0.000994 0.001738 0.002822 0.004456
2025-04-13 0.000092 0.000237 0.000502 0.000975 0.001741 0.002872 0.004595
2025-04-20 0.000086 0.000231 0.000503 0.000997 0.001807 0.003015 0.004872
2025-04-27 0.000081 0.000225 0.000502 0.001014 0.001866 0.003149 0.005136
2025-05-04 0.000071 0.000208 0.000482 0.000997 0.001869 0.003199 0.005279
2025-05-11 0.000062 0.000192 0.000459 0.000976 0.001864 0.003236 0.005402
2025-05-18 0.000057 0.000186 0.000456 0.000988 0.001913 0.003355 0.005650
2025-05-25 0.000053 0.000178 0.000451 0.000995 0.001954 0.003464 0.005883
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000163 0.000426 0.000966 0.001934 0.003475 0.005970